Macro Dashboard

Overview

Act as a macro strategist. Collect key economic indicators, yield curve data, inflation metrics, labor market signals, and market sentiment to produce a unified macro picture. Cross-reference all data points to classify the current economic regime.

Prerequisite: This skill requires FRED_API_KEY to be configured. Without it, only market indices and sentiment data are available.

Announce at start: "Building macro dashboard -- collecting economic indicators, yield curve, inflation, labor, and sentiment data."

Data Collection

Wave 1 -- ALL calls in parallel

DO NOT proceed to analysis until ALL REQUIRED calls return. ENRICHMENT failures are acceptable.

Analysis

Cross-reference the collected data across five dimensions:

1. Yield Curve -- Compute 10Y minus 2Y spread. Flag inversion (negative spread) as recession signal. Note steepening or flattening trend.
2. Inflation Trajectory -- Compare CPI and Core PCE to the Fed's 2% target. Determine if inflation is accelerating, decelerating, or anchored.
3. Labor Market Health -- Assess unemployment rate direction and initial claims trend. Rising claims with rising unemployment = deterioration.
4. Fed Policy Stance -- Current Fed Funds rate vs inflation readings. Is policy restrictive (rate > inflation) or accommodative?
5. Market Pricing of Risk -- Extract VIX from market indices. Combine with Fear & Greed score. Elevated VIX (>25) with extreme fear = stress.

Synthesize all five dimensions into a single macro regime classification.

DO NOT reproduce raw tool output. Synthesize and interpret.

Output Format

Economic Dashboard

Yield Curve

• 10Y Yield: x.xx% | 2Y Yield: x.xx% | Spread: +/-xx bps
• Interpretation: Normal / Flat / Inverted -- what it signals

Inflation vs Fed Target (2%)

• CPI trajectory and distance from target
• Core PCE trajectory and distance from target
• Assessment: ABOVE TARGET / AT TARGET / BELOW TARGET

Labor Market

• 2-3 sentence assessment of employment conditions

Market Risk Gauges

• VIX level and interpretation
• Fear & Greed score and classification

Upcoming Releases (Next 2 Weeks)

List the most market-moving releases from the economic calendar with dates.

Macro Regime

Classification: EXPANSION / SLOWDOWN / CONTRACTION / RECOVERY

Provide 3-4 sentences of reasoning tying the data dimensions together.

Limitations

Data from TradingView and Yahoo Finance is 15-minute delayed. CBOE and sentiment data is end-of-day. Verify critical levels with real-time data before executing trades.

Common Mistakes

• Reporting raw JSON from tool responses instead of synthesized values
• Forgetting to compute the yield curve spread (just listing 2Y and 10Y separately)
• Classifying regime based on a single indicator instead of cross-referencing all five dimensions
• Ignoring the direction/trend of indicators and only reporting the latest snapshot value