timeline-scenario-analysis — independently scanned and version-tracked by SaferSkills.
SaferSkills independently audited timeline-scenario-analysis (Agent Skill) and scored it 100/100 (green). The audit ran 55 deterministic rules across Security, Supply Chain, Maintenance, Transparency, and Community; it found 0 high-severity and 0 lower-severity findings. The full rule-by-rule trace and per-finding evidence are below. Free, methodology-open.
Findings & checks · 0 flagged
Every scanned point with the score it earned and what moved between them.
First recorded scan — no prior version to compare against.
The primary manifest — the file an agent reads to learn what this artifact does.
There are really only two questions a venture investor is asking:
This skill is where time enters the picture. It takes the penetration grid produced by [[market-capture-analysis]] and asks: given the company's actual current growth at its actual unit of sale, what does it take to reach any given cell — and how sensitive is that timeline to small changes in growth rate? Doing this skill without its sibling produces a growth curve with no destination (compounding toward nothing in particular); see Why this skill alone is incomplete below.
Given the capture grid from [[market-capture-analysis]] and the company's current growth trajectory at its actual unit of sale, what does it take to reach each penetration cell — and how sensitive is that timeline to changes in growth rate?
| Input | Source |
|---|---|
| Capture grid | Output of [[market-capture-analysis]] |
| Current growth rate | Reported MoM and/or YoY at the company's unit of sale |
| Unit of sale | Same as the capture grid — must be consistent |
| Cohort behavior (if known) | Retention, expansion, churn — affect whether reported growth is durable |
For any starting growth rate (the canonical example: 10% MoM), the analysis walks four scenarios:
Each scenario lands the company at one or more cells in the capture grid by year (or by quarter for early-stage). The output is a small set of named trajectories pointing at named cells — not an open-ended chart.
Growth rate is the lever. Show the timeline impact of small changes:
This is where the analyst earns their pay. The numbers themselves are not the point; the named trade-off between scenarios is.
Same exhaustive-vs-synthesized discipline as [[market-capture-analysis]] and [[competitive-analysis]]:
| Artifact | This skill lands as |
|---|---|
| Dedicated research file (exhaustive) | Full four-scenario walk-through with sensitivity tables for every growth-rate variation considered |
| Memo section (synthesized) | A small chart or table comparing the four scenarios on time-to-base-case, plus prose calling out the most consequential sensitivity |
Raw prose listing every scenario value is a failure mode — same as it is for [[competitive-analysis]] and [[market-capture-analysis]].
Timeline scenarios without a capture grid produce a growth curve aimed at nothing in particular. A "company growing 10% MoM" is a fact; without the capture grid from [[market-capture-analysis]], there is no answer to "growing toward what?" — no cells to hit, no base case to defend, no upper bound to anchor against.
Run both skills. They are split to keep each focused, not because they are independent.
This section is a strong candidate for a grill_me: block. The judgment calls the model should not silently make:
Each has multiple defensible answers and depends on firm/partner/deal preference rather than corpus content.
apps/memopop-orchestrator/src/agents/ (no dedicated timeline-scenario agent exists yet at time of writing).templates/outlines/.apps/memopop-orchestrator/templates/outlines/ — outline YAMLs that define the traction/growth section's guiding questions.~30 seconds. Free. No account. Every finding cites a rule and a line of evidence.